牛津經濟研究院

2023年2月17日,

歐元區工業生產結束2022年糟糕的注意受到polycrisis 2022年,歐元區工業生產結束了一年,討厭的m / m 12月萎縮了1.1%。/ bne IntelliNews由bne IntelliNewsFebruary 2023受到2022年polycrisis,歐元區工業生產結束今年嚴重的萎縮1.1% m / m去年12月,牛津經濟報告。”引發的收縮主要是德國工業,與法國和意大利顯著提升。疲軟的主要行業分組顯示行業普遍存在,隻有子組件的能量增加,”牛津經濟研究院在一份報告中說。德國預期進入衰退在去年年底,但設法擠進黑但其今年前景仍很落後。從中歐和東歐(中東歐),匈牙利是唯一一個經濟學家相信它將進入衰退後的1月份通脹率升至27年高點,Czechia也進入紅色的危險。所有歐元區國家預計今年經濟增長乏力。1.1%的整體收縮略高於預期基於認真實施國家數據,牛津經濟研究院說。11月的數據從1%修訂後的m / m / m m至1.4%,主要來自德國。法國和意大利,另一方麵,突出與m / m增加1.1%和1.6%,分別。 “The industrial sector is still faring relatively well, but we expect it to remain a point of weakness for the eurozone economy in the coming months,” Oxford Economics said. The final estimate for Spain's January inflation has also been released, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.9%. This is slightly up from the preliminary estimate of 5.8% and from December's figure of 5.7%. Core inflation also increased to 7.5% y/y from 7% y/y in the previous month. However, there is a significant discrepancy with Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) core rate, as the domestic definition includes processed food which alone contributed to about half of the print. The energy crisis and the soaring cost of gas have been a big contributor to growth-killing inflation, but energy prices dropped further into negative territory in January, at -8.3% y/y. “But energy’s subcomponents showed diverging patterns,” says Oxford Economics. “Fuel prices picked up 9.5% over the month, while electricity prices declined by 17.5%. In the coming months, we expect stickier services prices and stronger wage growth to make inflation fall at a much slower pace than what we have been seeing so far.” The Eurozone's industrial sector saw a contraction in December, mainly due to a negative contribution from Germany. While France and Italy saw increases, every industrial grouping, energy was the only one that showed a contraction. The recent improvement in confidence indicators may be due to a reassessment of European firms' expectations after excessive pessimism in recent months, but Oxford Economics says it does not believe that this change heralds a strong economic recovery. “Despite the fall in production, the industrial sector is still faring relatively well. However, we expect it to remain a point of weakness for the eurozone economy in the coming months,” Oxford Economics said. 1 month ago To continue viewing our content you need to complete the registration process. Please look for an email that was sent to with the subject line "Confirmation bne IntelliNews access". This email will have instructions on how to complete registration process. Please check in your "Junk" folder in case this communication was misdirected in your email system. If you have any questions please contact us at sales@intellinews.com Close Subscribe to bne IntelliNews website and magazine Sorry, but you have used all your free articles fro this month for bne IntelliNews. Subscribe to continue reading for only $119 per year. Your subscription includes: