2022年2月10日

是49點,10是2022年2月22點,10是2022年2月49點,2022年2月保存(彭博社)——11月高點以來比特幣的跌幅如此陡峭,平均買家在過去的幾個月很可能在水下,直到再次超過47000美元。這是根據Blockforce資本,發現硬幣投資者支付的平均價格在過去五個月是47000美元,這意味著,平均而言,那些買了在此期間可能已經失去了錢,才會傾向於購買更多他們收支平衡。這個指標,稱為短期成本基礎上,是一個“障礙創造一些一致的動能," Blockforce首都布雷特明斯特寫道,分析Glassnode數據。比特幣是下跌了約35%,因為它達到近69000美元的峰值隨著風險規避與美國聯邦儲備理事會(美聯儲,fed)和其它全球央行開始收緊金融狀況和從係統中刪除pandemic-era流動性。風險較高的資產,包括cryptocurrencies,會在這樣的環境中,因交易商撤出雄心勃勃的投資。硬幣,交易價格約44750美元周四,需要增加另一個5%左右達到盈虧平衡水平最近的買家。巧合的是,明斯特所指出的,47000美元也在比特幣的200日移動均線切入位,目前在約49000美元。這是“一個被普遍認可的指標確定市場趨勢在哪個方向,”他寫道,並補充說“這個閾值可以提供抵抗那些最近買家看起來收回投資並賣掉。”盡管一月粗糙,這幾天一直對比特幣更好。周四是積極的第八天,自7月以來未見的一個壯舉。它增加超過1000億美元的市值從2月開始,根據Coinmarketcap.com的數據”雖然還為時過早宣布與任何確定性33美元k是底部,有理由相信,現在更不對稱好處比缺點,“Blockforce的明斯特寫道。 “That doesn’t mean Bitcoin couldn’t fall back down again, but the data seems to suggest that the upside potential now outweighs the downside.” There are other hopeful signs. The coin has broken out of the downtrend that had been in place since the fall, according to Bespoke Investment Group. It also managed to close above its 50-day moving average on Monday for the first time in 81 days, which had been a record stretch below that level. When that’s happened in the past, the coin has tended to outperform relative to the norm in the following week, month and three-month periods, on a median basis. “The end of past extended streaks below its 50-DMA have been followed by stronger-than-normal returns over the next few months,” Jake Gordon, an analyst at Bespoke, wrote in a note. ©2022 Bloomberg L.P.